Hurricane forecast: Another busy Atlantic season
NOAA says it could be "unusually wild," and tells the public to consider this forecast their warning to prepare.
In this Aug. 30, 2012 file photo, residents evacuate their flooded neighborhood in LaPlace, La. as Hurricane Isaac staggered toward central Louisiana, its weakening winds driving storm surge into portions of the coast and the River Parishes between New Orleans and Baton Rouge. Federal forecasters are predicting yet another busy hurricane season. The outlook on Thursday, May 23, 2013 calls for 13 to 20 named storms, 7 to 11 that strengthen into hurricanes and 3 to 6 that become major hurricanes. The prediction by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration is more than what’s considered an average Atlantic season. (AP Photo/Eric Gay, File)
COLLEGE PARK, Md. (AP) -- Get ready for another busy hurricane season, maybe unusually wild, federal forecasters say.
Their prediction Thursday calls for 13 to 20 named Atlantic storms, 7 to 11 that strengthen into hurricanes and 3 to 6 that become major hurricanes.
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration said there is a 70 percent chance that this year will be more active than an average hurricane season.
If you live in hurricane prone areas along the Atlantic Ocean or Gulf of Mexico coasts, "This is your warning," acting NOAA administrator Kathryn Sullivan said.
A normal year has 12 named storms, 6 hurricanes and 3
major storms with winds over 110 mph.
Last year was the third-busiest on record with 19 named storms. Ten became hurricanes and were two major storms. That included Sandy, which caused $50 billion in damage even though it lost hurricane status when it made landfall in New Jersey.
All the factors that go into hurricane forecasts are pointing to an active season, or extremely active one, said lead forecaster Gerry Bell of the Climate Prediction Center.
Those factors include: warmer than average ocean waters that provide fuel for storms, a multi-decade pattern of increased hurricane activity, the lack of an El Nino warming of the central Pacific Ocean, and an active pattern of storm systems coming off west Africa.
The Atlantic hurricane season goes through about 25 to 40 year cycles of high activity and low activity. The high activity period started around 1995, Sullivan said.
The forecasts don't include where storms might land, if any place. Despite the formation of more hurricanes recently, the last time a major hurricane made landfall in the United States was Wilma in 2005. That seven-year stretch is the longest on record.
The six-month season starts June 1. Forecasters name tropical storms when their top winds reach 39 mph; hurricanes have maximum winds of at least 74 mph.
This year's names: Andrea, Barry, Chantal, Dorian, Erin, Fernand, Gabrielle, Humberto, Ingrid, Jerry, Karen, Lorenzo, Melissa, Nestor, Olga, Pablo, Rebekah, Sebastien, Tanya, Van and Wendy.
Mother Nature "RULES" on this Planet we call Home...
to ALL comments on 'Politics' 'Jokes' and other 'NONSENSE''...???
I say "Don't Be Stupid'...
PREPARE...as best as any of Us can...for the 'WORST''...
and "Hopefully" Be ABLE to Be "THANKFUL" IF We Don't Get The Worst ???
and THAT IS NOT 'Just Hurricanes'...
TORNADOES CAN Happen ANYWHERE...Even If they Never Have before...
EARTHQUAKES CAN Happen ANYWHERE...ETC...
VOLCANOS Can Erupt...ETC...
No Matter Where Any Of Us Live on this PLANET...???
"WE" Mere "Human Beings" are ALL CONNECTED TO THE SAME "PLANET EARTH" ???
ALL CONNECTED ???
SO...Use Your 'Brains' to PREPARE ???...as Best You Can ???...for 'WHATEVER' ???
and...STOP The FOOLISHNESS ???
Does NOT Matter "WHY" Electric goes out...BUT..???
IF It Goes Out and you are NOT PREPARED ???
Just THINK ???
Same with "Flooding"...Just because you do Not Live in an "OFFICIALLY DECLARED FLOOD ZONE" ???
Does NOT Mean you are "IMMUNE" To FLOODING !!!
SO Stop with the "Stupidness" ???
Have "SURVIVED" Hurricanes in Florida...
One Tornado in Witchita, Ks...
several 'Small' Earthquakes in LA...and...
One "Not So Small" EARTHQUAKE on Big Island Hawaii...
Cannot Emphasize ENOUGH...the" IMPORTANCE of BEING PREPARED"...
Anyone who "VALUES" LIFE ???
Be As PREPARED As POSSIBLE ???
and "PRAY" For The Best ???
Just Food For Thought ???
You mean weather is cyclical... Go think. Doesn't have a damn thing to do with man's use of fossil fuels. Good old sun, water, and weather....
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- Avalanche threat continues for the Pacific Northwest